Thursday, March 31, 2005

American League Predictions

AL East

Boston
New York
Baltimore
Toronto
Tampa Bay

My instinct actually says the Yankees will win here, but my instincts were terrible last year, so I'll just point out that Johnson, Pavano, and several other key players seem like huge injury risks while others like Bernie Williams are in decline and say that Boston will come out on top, though the Yankees will be the Wild Card. Boston also has better swingmen if there are key pitching injuries. The rest of the division is pretty conventional.

AL Central

Cleveland
Chicago
Minnesota
Detroit
Kansas City

This was the toughest division for me to call, as I think any of the top three could carry it. I'm going with Cleveland because I think their bullpen will let them win some games they have no business winning. Chicago will not underachieve like they did last year. Minnesota is better than third, but someone has to be in that place. Detroit will keep moving forward, and then there are the Royals...

AL West

Angels
Texas
Seattle
Oakland

The...err..."Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim" will win this walking away, though they might want to look into acquiring an ace who wins games in addition to being a good pitcher. I'm not sure what Texas did last year, but they'll probably do it again. Some of Seattle's young arms will rebound, which with the improved offense will allow them to sneak into third. Oakland is a pitching-dependent team that no longer has proven pitching, and I think the ghosts of Hudson and Mulder will haunt Haren and Harden into the basement.

Rejection

I have just received a rejection letter regarding my latest Fulbright-Hays application. My professors here thought my application was sterling, so I guess the boards and my topic just aren't mixing very well. I'm rather disappointed at the moment.

Time to contemplate my next move, I guess.

UPDATE: Faculty are surprised I didn't make the cut. I guess that's a compliment.

U.S. and Kyrgyzstan

The New York Times reports on American support for Kyrgyz civil society infrastructure that played a role in the revolution.

Wednesday, March 30, 2005

Afghanistan's Opium

Over at Liberals Against Terrorism, I've raised the issue of us buying Afghanistan's opium crop.

After Withdrawal

Middle East Online reports on Palestinian plans for Gaza after the Israeli withdrawal. The first order of business will be to resolve the housing crisis, in part by demolishing the Israeli settler homes which take up too much space. The ultimate objective of developing the area as a Mediterranean coast resort is a good one, but I think we're years away from when the "Gaza Strip" will conjure of images of relaxing on the beach. The most they could hope for in the near future would be tourists from Arab countries who don't spend as much money as their counterparts in the West.

Gospel of Judas

A Swiss group is publishing a translation of a text I've never heard of, the Gospel of Judas, which should make for interesting reading, though I doubt material attributed to that apostle will have much impact on Christian theology =) What intrigues me as a historian is why it exists and what we can learn from the fact of Judas material circulating in the early church.

Incidentally, the article is wrong, in that Mark and Luke are not attributed to apostles, but to, well, Mark and Luke, associates of Paul of Tarsus, who converted to Christianity after the Crucifixion.

Tuesday, March 29, 2005

Summoned

Patriarch Irineos I has been summoned to Amman for questioning regarding his various scandals. I find Jordan's control over the patriarchate interesting. In my master's thesis and first conference paper, I looked at the relationship between the Coptic Church and the Ayyubid Sultante in the early 13th century, in which the Ayyubids had similar powers to what Jordan apparently enjoys here. These powers, however, were the same as those they enjoyed over Muslim religious institutions, and were almost always only exercised when Christians themselves brought a controversy to their attention. Which probably isn't relevant to the immediate issues in Jerusalem, but hey, it's not every day I get the chance to discuss my actual academic work.

Monday, March 28, 2005

Funding Reform Groups

USAID is now funding pro-democracy groups in Egypt.

UPDATE: See further discussion at Liberals Against Terrorism.

Princes of Monaco

Bhutan

Possible Simony?

New accusations are out against Irineos I, Patriarch of Jerusalem:
"Patriarch Irenaios, the beleaguered head of the Greek Orthodox Jerusalem Patriarchate, came under increasing pressure yesterday after the publication of allegations that he offered to pay fugitive drugs smuggler Apostolos Vavilis a large sum of money to help him get elected and that he played a key role in the controversial leasing of Church land to Jewish investors.

"Vavilis claimed that Irenaios had offered him $400,000 if he helped him win the 2001 election for Jerusalem Patriarch, during a meeting which was also attended by the head of the Church of Greece, Archbishop Christodoulos, according to an interview published in Proto Thema weekly yesterday. Vavilis, who is wanted by Interpol, said that he never received the money."

I'm not sure if the Vavilis character is really credible, but these accusations will only further fuel calls for the patriarch to step down. Meanwhile, at least on Palestinian diplomat is assuring Greeks this is not a plot to Arabize the church.

Saturday, March 26, 2005

Protests in Bahrain

Juan Cole reports that 80,000 protesters turned out to demand a new constitution in Bahrain. Chan'ad Bahraini posted on the organization of the event before anyone knew how big it would be.

Basilica of St. Clare

This is the Basilica of St. Clare in Assisi, Italy. It was taken during the restoration several months after the 1997 earthquake in the Umbrian valley. In the foreground is a wooden house built for four Poor Clares who refused to leave during that period.

Friday, March 25, 2005

Score!

Wisconsin scored!

I'm talking about hockey here, not basketball. For the past little while, I've been reduced to hoping we didn't get shut out. Being down 4-1 with five minutes left does not give rise to optimism. All well - the Badgers this year were a very goalie-dependent team. Bruckler could have stolen his way to the title game, but failing that losing to Michigan was likely, despite my earlier bravado.

Automotive Mishaps

This is a pretty absent-minded thing to have done.

Palestinian Orthodox Controversy

I'm not sure what to say about this controversy. Many Palestinians are demanding the resignation of Irineos I, Eastern Orthodox Patriarch of Jerusalem, accusing him of signing off on the sale of church property in Jerusalem to Jewish investors, a charge the Patriarch denies. A key figure in the case is Nikos Papadimas, a financial officer allegedly close to the Patriarch who vanished several months ago and is accused of embezzling church funds in Greece. Wikipedia suggests there has been tension for some time between the largely Greek elite of the Orthodox Patriarchate in Jerusalem of treating the Arabs as second-class members of the church, so perhaps this is simply the spark that brought those tensions into the open. The presence of holy sites has basically served as a stumbling block to Palestinian Orthodox governing their own church, as they attract interest from other, larger and more powerful church centers - check out the web site. In any case, there's no hint in al-Jazeera that the situation is stirring up prejudice among Muslims against Palestinian Christians, which is a good thing. (The issue of discrimination against Jewish investors is tied to the Israeli-Palestinian conflict and I won't deal with it here.)

Kyrgyzstan's Future

Once protests really got started, the government of president Askar Akayev fell with amazing speed. Protestors stormed government buildings in Bishkek, and then it was all over. A figure with the International Crisis Group just said on the Democracy Now TV network that Kyrgyzstan had weak government institutions compared to Uzbekistan and Turkmenistan, and that might be the reason. Via Nathan Hamm, I see that Osh is calm, though looting continues in the capital. Restoring order in Bishkek will be a top order of business as the opposition moves to control the country.

Speaking of the opposition, however, who are they? There was no single opposition leader, which makes the success of the revolution all the more interesting. The Supreme Court voided the elections, and Parliament named Kurmanbek Bakiev as Prime Minister, which according to the constitution makes him interim President, as well. Meanwhile Feliks Kulov, newly freed from prison, takes over security responsibilities. Are these opposition leaders really on the same team? If they're not, can they form a power-sharing arrangement that prevents further conflict and sets the country on the path to democracy?

The situation in Kyrgyzstan somewhat resembles that in Iraq sans the insurgency, as you have these different factions which need to work out a government among themselves when I don't think they had any clear plans in place beyond ousting Akayev. Of course, they don't have to write a constitution from scratch and deal with the status of Kirkuk, but they do have regional issues to resolve, as well. Finally, historically it is not uncommon for revolutions to be followed by wars - my junior year in college I took an honors class called "Revolution, War and Peace" because that was the order in which they occurred. This hasn't happened in Ukraine, and Georgia already had issues, but if the new government is slow out of the gate, you could see those who would seek to impose their own agenda in the country - perhaps an Islamist faction - take up arms in a low-level insurgency. These are often the fruits of chaos, and a revolution does not a democracy make.

Al-Jarallah

Islamists in the Kuwaiti Parliament continue to flex their political muscle by questioning government ministers. This time, the target is Minister of Health Muhammad al-Jarallah, who stands accused of mismanagement and corruption with regard to the country's state hospital system. If I remember correctly, government ministers can vote in Parliament, so this might be an attempt by the Islamists to postpone the government's getting the majority needed to pass its women's suffrage legislation. Certainly the liberals in Parliament aren't going along with this, though they have made their own accusations against a Salafi minister.

Thursday, March 24, 2005

Tulip Revolution

I leave town for a day, and Akayev gets tossed. Go read Nathan. I'll say more tomorrow.

Wednesday, March 23, 2005

Kyrgyzstan

I'm taking a view days to push through some work, so if you want good Kyrgyzstan coverage, go to Nathan Hamm.

Tuesday, March 22, 2005

Divestment

I just found out that some are pushing UW's TAA to call for the University of Wisconsin to divest from Israel. That sounds like a terrible idea. We're a union, not an international activist group. We still haven't reached an agreement with the state on a contract for the period ending June 2005, and the state recently rejected our proposal for a 0% pay increase. Raising an issue that will divide the membership at a time like this is ridiculous.

Monday, March 21, 2005

Frozen Four Pool

Mark Coen is running an NCAA Hockey pool. Craig Barker reports that the CCHA championship trophy was destroyed by a fan during an awards ceremony. Because of this, I don't think any CCHA teams deserve to win anything this year. Craig also correctly notes that a hot goaltender can steal some games in the single-elimination play-off format. This is something Wisconsin can supply.

Arafat Health Update

Yasser Arafat is still dead.

Akaev Calls for Probe

Hoping to appease demonstrators, Kyrgyz President Askar Akaev called for a probe of alleged fraud in the recent parliamentary elections. This comes as protests continue across the south, with opposition forces in Osh seizing the airport to prevent the government from flying in security forces. Protestors continue to seek Akaev's resignation, but as long as things remain calm in Bishkek, I don't think that will happen. This article indicates opposition leaders are aware of that and are working to stir things in the capital. In the meantime, the government's best hope remains fracturing the opposition, some of whom are willing to negotiate.

As the western media starts to notice these events, the BBC discusses their regional implications. One issue they raise is ethnicity, but so far that doesn't seem to have been a factor, with ethnic minorities supposedly mostly in Akaev's corner out of a concern for stability. The fault lines seem to be regional, not linguistic.

Sunday, March 20, 2005

Kyrgyz Crackdown

During the night, Kyrgyz security forces retook government buildings in Osh and Jalal-Abad, but with only limited success as over 10,000 opposition protestors took to the streets of Jalal-Abad and retook the building there, as well as burned down a police station. Reports suggest that local police are standing aside while special forces from Bishkek go after the protestors. This may be a crucial tipping point, as the Akayev government looks like it might lose control of much of the country if it doesn't start meeting some opposition demands.

Selection Sunday

The NCAA Men's Hockey bracket has been announced, with Boston College as the top seed. Despite deciding to take the last part of the season off, the Badgers made it in as a #3 seed for their regional and will take on the University of Michigan. Michigan's strength is their high-powered offense while Wisconsin's is goalie Bernd Bruckler, so the key to the game is obvious. The WCHA as a league is well-represented, boasting the second, third, and fourth seeds in the tournament overall.

Sistani Nominated

Tom Friedman seems to think he's being original in suggesting Grand Ayatollah Ali Sistani for a Nobel Peace Prize. As noted here and here, however, it's been done. His contributions are certainly worth a nomination, as he has prevented the situation from in from getting worse through his emphasis on the political process and non-violent advancement of the Shi'ite community, while perhaps even making it better through his insistence on elections.

Amina Wadud

Those of you who read A Dervish's Du'a have long followed the issue of women in Islam, and know about Amina Wadud, who just led Friday prayers for a mixed congregation in New York. Many Muslims, of course, are objecting to this as an innovation, just as happens in other religions when this issue is raised. Thanks to Praktike, however, I learn that Egypt's Mufti Shaykh Ali Gum'a finds nothing wrong with it. (The original report is here, though I'm too lazy to read it.)

As long as I'm on the subject, RFE-RL profiled a young girl in Kyrgyzstan pursuing the same dream.

Saturday, March 19, 2005

The World According to Dinawari

One of my Spring Break projects is reading the work of the 9th-century Persian scholar Abu Hanifa ad-Dinawari, who although most accomplished as an astronomer and botanist wrote a somewhat interesting history, as well. After briefly passing over human origins he dives into Iranian history, where according to the medieval Islamic genealogy schemes we get a man called Jamm b. Wayarnajhan b. Iran (vowels uncertain). The next clause, presumably referring to Grandpa Iran, says, "And he was Arfakhshadh b. Sam b. Nuh."

We're now in the territory of the Table of Nations, with Arphaxad, whom scholars believe originally stood for a region in northern Iraq, standing for Iran instead. Which is fine in and of itself - you have to graft yourself into the human family somehow - but why pick Arphaxad to become Iran when Elam is also available, and the eldest son at that? Was he already accounted for in some manner?

One thing I did learn was that Idris, whose name I knew as a pre-Islamic Prophet in general, is identified with Enoch. The name "Idris" allegedly came about because of his extensive studies, with the Arabic root d-r-s referring to study, as in "madrasa."

UPDATE: I should read on before I post. After hanging out in Mosul for a summer, Sam wandered down the east bank of the Tigris and the region came to be called "Sam Rah," or "Iran." Meanwhile, in the days of this "Jamm" fellow, we get to the Tower of Babel. Looking at Genesis 11 to see if a Jamm turns up in that account, I see that Arphaxad's line ultimately gives rise to a rather important fellow named Abraham. I guess it's good to be related to him. Not only that, but the sons of Sam have been reordered, so that Aram is now the eldest, followed by Arphaxad and Elam. Aram is the ancestor of the Arabs. The Iranians, meanwhile, are divided among other sons, with Khurasan as a son of Elam and Fars a son of Asshur, for example. The actual Assyrians and Elamites have passed from memory.

Storks

These storks live in Rabat and bring Moroccan babies.

Osh Quriltai

One day after seizing control of the regional administrative building, protestors in the Kyrgyz city of Osh have set up a people's council to serve as an alternate regional government. Both Roza Otenbaeva, the former diplomat, and former Prime Minister Kurmanbek Bakiev were involved, though the chairman is one Anvar Artykov of the "Fatherland" party. Such council have previously been set up in Jalal-Abad and Bishkek. Despite the election showing - or perhaps because of it - the Kyrgyz opposition remains far from dead. Perhaps some Western media could, like, fly to Bishkek and cover it?

Two Votes Away

If Kuwait has a Josh Lyman, he's almost home:
"Al Rai Al Aam daily quoted government sources as saying four more MPs agreed to support the Bill and the government is in the process of securing the support of two more to complete the needed majority.

"In the meantime, parliament's interior and defence committee has set March 26 to discuss the women's Bill in addition to two more election reform Bills that will lower the voting age to 18 and grant voting rights to 50,000 servicemen in the defence and interior ministries.

"After completing its report on the issue, a special parliamentary session will be held to debate it. The session is expected to be held in April."

Contrary to this person's opinion, this has nothing to do with Iraq, and it's been the key issue in Kuwaiti politics since the 1990's. In fact, aside from the whole brutal dictator thing Saddam had going on, women had full rights under the Ba'athist regime.

Friday, March 18, 2005

NIC Report

See Liberals Against Terrorism for some brief comments on the terrorism section of the recent NIC report.

Joy

Jonathan Dresner finds the latest:
"By many measures, the news in the latest report is troubling. The time spent working toward the history PhD, for instance, grew longer and now surpasses every other discipline. Among the new cohort of history PhDs, the time spent registered for graduate courses increased, from an average of 9 (in 2001–02) to 9.3 years. In comparison, the average for all fields was 7.5 years. Given the extended time spent working toward the degree, it is hardly surprising that the average age of new history PhDs increased by two-tenths of a year, to 34.9 years—a year-and-a-half older than the average for new PhDs in all fields. It should be noted, however, that the figures given for "time spent registered for graduate courses" are slightly deceptive in that they are precisely that—they include time spent on any study following the undergraduate degree and not just for the PhD.

"Despite their years of effort, the new PhDs reported declining success in finding employment after they received the degree. The proportion of new history PhDs who reported "definite employment" fell from 52.9 percent to 51.3 percent—reversing three years of improvement. This is still well above the low point of 44.9 percent in 1998–99, but it does fit with our reporting on the declining number of jobs being advertised.2 Among the rest, 26.8 percent of the new history PhD recipients reported they were still seeking employment when they received the degree, while 14.3 percent planned to take or seek a postdoctoral fellowship, and 7.7 reported that they were uncertain about their future."

Saudi Women and the Franchise

Gulf News reports a new survey showing that almost 90% of Saudis support women's right to vote. If we assume that women support women's suffrage at a higher rate than do men, then that percentage is in the ballpark of what one might project from this recent study in Kuwait.

NCAA Hockey

This sort of thing is getting really frustrating.

Thursday, March 17, 2005

Summer Persian

I've noticed from e-mail that students interested in the Middle East form a large chunk of my readership, so let me again advertise our summer Persian program here at UW-Madison. The Arabic program we did last year went off really well, and we're looking forward to adding Persian to it. If you want to pick up a year of foreign language, this is a great way to do it.

Why Moravian?

Another personal religious post, just because it's occupying my mind right now. I was asked to produce for this Sunday's church bulletin a short statement on why I chose to join the Moravian Church. This is what I came up with:
"I believe that language is an imperfect tool to understand God and the mystery of salvation, and that the central revelation we are given as Christians is in the life of Jesus Christ. The Moravian Church shares the implications of this belief in their acceptance of many creeds and the motto, 'In essentials unity; in nonessentials liberty; in all things love.' Moravians have maintained Christian unity without losing the core of their faith, and developed a tradition which allows for the expression of fundamental principles across both time and space. In this way, they seem to live up to the description of Wisdom in Proverbs 3:17, 'Her ways are pleasant ways, and all her paths are peace.'"

Chaos in Kyrgyzstan

Well, actually there's chaos only in parts of Kyrgyzstan, where protests continue in the wake of recent Parliamentary elections. The recent highlight seems to be in the southern city of Talas, where protestors held a governor hostage while demanding a new election. While some opposition leaders in the country are focused on Akayev and the Presidency, much of the action seems local and not really tied to broad movements. Also, as Nathan Hamm notes, the opposition is led by government cronies who fell from favor. Will Akayev try to play on their divisions by letting some back into favor while suppressing the rest?

Opportunity Cost

Matthew Yglesias once again raises the point that while the Iraqi people might be better off as a result of the Iraq conflict, opportunity costs need to be considered when deciding whether such wars are a good idea in the future. I don't agree with everything he says, especially about the value of freedom itself, but the fact remains that compared to expending our resources on some African health issue or something, most humanitarian wars aren't the best ways to be a global do-gooder.

Wednesday, March 16, 2005

Arab Media in Iraq

RFE-RL today has a questionable story called "Arab Media Contribute to Instability in Iraq." Using as a hook the al-Ghad incident, in which a Jordanian daily paper falsely claimed a Jordanian family was celebrating the al-Hilla bombing and Iraqis protested. They then launch into repeated claims that al-Jazeera's "inaccurate" reporting fuel the insurgency, seeming to claim that Abu Musab Zarqawi is in Iraq because of the Arab media coverage and that the Iraqi government is weak for not cracking down harder. At the root of my problem with the article is the underlying idea that the Arab media's framing of the issue is seen as the problem, and I question their assertions that al-Jazeera in particular has failed to cover political debate inside Iraq. I expect to see this on FOXNews, but it surprised me coming from RFE-RL like this.

Barbers

Caleb comments on conversation in the barber shop:
"What I'm worried about is going through the complicated process of finding another barber who understands the fine balance between awkward silences and too much conversation. Most people think of the dentist's chair as the most uncomfortable place for small talk, but I've never been good at small talk in the barber's chair either. In my days of wilderness wandering from one neighborhood cuttery to the next, I could expect about once a month to cycle through the usual questions, beginning with 'What do you do?' and leading inevitably to 'So what are you planning to do with that?'"

It just so happens that I have a history of winding up with barbers who are outspoken Republicans. Depending on my mood, I usually let them do most of the talking.

History Carnival #4

Another Damned Medievalist has posted History Carnival #4, based around the themes of the relevance of history and qualifications of historians. Great job!

Tuesday, March 15, 2005

My Alleged Judaism

Why do I keep making lists of blogging Jews?

Kuwaiti Women's Rights Opinions

Middle East Online reports a poll which shows that 50% of men support women's right to vote and stand for office, 22% believe they should vote but not run for office, and 28% oppose both. In addition, the Minister of Islamic Affairs reports a fatwa will soon be issued entrusting the Emir to set policy in the area. This, however, comes as the government forbids discussion of women's rights in mosque sermons because they didn't like what was being preached. Some freedoms are on the march, but others aren't.

Hariri Assassination Context

On the Arabist Network, you can read a highly interesting theory about the Hariri assassination, one which also links in Saudi Arabia's opposition to Syria's continued occupation of Lebanon. Be sure to take a look.

Monday, March 14, 2005

A Sensible Promotion

This restaurant is giving free meals to people named Brian.

American Muslims

Al-Muhajabah reminds us all that not only is there no evidence suggesting an al-Qaeda presence among American Muslims, they appear to be more law-abiding than the general population.

Kyrgyz Elections, Round Two

Early results from the second round of Kyrgyzstan's Parliamentary elections suggest that the opposition will win 6 of 75 seats. That isn't very many, and accusations of election fraud are in the air. (Perhaps the opposition would be more effective if they could settle on a name for their proposed revolution - we've been through yellow, rose, tulip, and now "Yurt Revolution.")

It should go without saying that Nathan Hamm has more.

Beth Young

Congratulations to my high school quiz bowl coach Beth Young, who was inducted into the Illinois Scholastic Bowl Coaches Hall of Fame on March 5 in Peoria, Illinois. During her career at Quincy High School, Young compiled a career record of 1010-179, leading teams to state championships in 1987, 1988, and 1993, third place in 1994 and 1995, and fourth place in 2000.

Saturday, March 12, 2005

Fashion Complaint

My suitcoat is starting to show signs of age.

Media Guide

This guide to the national media is pretty funny.

Second Ibadhi Imamate

When I tell people that I need to go overseas to read manuscripts dealing with Oman's Second Ibadhi Imamate, a common reaction is, "What is the Second Ibadhi Imamate?"

I'm so glad you asked.

In December 793, an Ibadhi rebellion led by the Yahmad tribe of the Azd deposed the Abbasid agent Rashid b. an-Nazr, entered his capital at Nizwa, and proclaimed a new Ibadhi state. Thereafter the leading Ibadhi religious scholars met in the nearby town of Manh to determine who should be Imam. The meeting was tumultuous, as many of those attending felt themselves best qualified for the position. Amidst the controversy, Musa b. Abi Jabir, the most influential figure present, appointed a Basran named Muhammad b. Abi Affan al-Yahmadi as governor of Nizwa. Shortly thereafter, Muhammad was named Imam, perhaps because as an outsider he was untainted by Oman's tribal feuds.

Muhammad's imamate, however, proved short-lived. He immediately faced opposition from the Julandas, the clan which had ruled Oman in late Sassanid times and at intervals ever since. They led a revolt in the east, which Muhammad's forces crushed using brutal force, even burning one rebel tribe's date palms. This aroused much outcry because in Islam, destroying produce-producing trees is a crime in war, as it ruins the economy of the area until the trees grow back. Muhammad's personal style also offended influential Omanis, as he failed to consult them as was custom for rulers in the area.

After two years, Muhammad b. Abi Affan was deposed and went back to Basra. His successor was a man named al-Warith b. Ka'b al-Kharusi. He settled many of the tribal feuds in the country, and was renowned for his wisdom and moderation. In fact, some of his followers found him too much so. During his time, the Abbasids attempted to reconquer Oman, but were defeated at the Battle of Hetta. After consultation, Imam al-Warith ordered the Abbasid general sentenced to life in prison. Many Omanis felt this was too lenient, went to the prison, and killed the general. Nonetheless, al-Warith b. Ka'b led Oman until 807, when a flood threatened to engulf a prison near Nizwa. The Imam ordered the prisoners released, and when no one would go let them out, went himself. During the course of this rescue mission, he drowned.

After al-Warith's death, there was no obvious successor, so a number of religious scholars suggested writing to all the people of Oman to seek their input. Others, however, felt that might be impractical and give rise to feuds, and so they turned to Ghassan b. Abdullah al-Yahmadi as the new imam. He immediately faced a revolt connected to the Julandas, which was defeated, and Ghassan had as-Saqr b. Muhammad al-Julanda assassinated. At the same time, there was another tribal revolt, though its leader sought sanctuary from some shaykhs of Yahmad, and the imam honored the promise of his fellow tribesmen.

At one point during his imamate, Ghassan temporarily moved his capital to Suhar, the port which during the 9th century was one of the largest cities in the Persian Gulf region. There he began building a navy to defend the coasts against the pirates who were become a significant menace to Oman's people as well as its commerce. In addition, he worked to improve Oman's irrigation channels and ordered that owners of agricultural slaves could force them to work during the day or night but not both, as was becoming common.

In 822, Imam Ghassan died. He was succeeded by the elderly Abd al-Malik b. Humayd al-Alawi. Despite his age, he reigned for 17 years, during which he relied heavily on a council of religious scholars to run the state. Chief among these was a man named Musa b. Ali, who became Acting Imam for a brief time after Abd al-Malik's death in 840. He was instrumental in ensuring the succession of al-Muhanna b. Jayfar al-Yahmadi, who was known for his strictness. He expanded the Imamate's navy and began keeping at standing army of 10,000 in Nizwa, with additional detachments in other parts of the country. His reign saw the last revolt of the Julandas, who were crushed completely and dispersed. When the controversy over the createdness of the Qur'an came to Oman, the religious scholars agreed upon a compromise formula which Imam al-Muhanna imposed forcibly during his imamate.

As al-Muhanna grew old, many felt he should abdicate, and a group of religious scholars raised the issue with Musa b. Ali. Musa took the suggestion to the imam, who replied that if he were to step down at the people's request, no imam would ever last for a year again. He died in 851, to be succeeded by as-Salt b. Malik al-Kharusi, whose reign of 34 years was the longest of any Ibadhi imam in medieval Oman. The power of the Imamate had grown to the point where near the end of Imam as-Salt's reign, he actually launched a military expedition to the island of Socotra in the Arabian Sea. The details are unclear, but there was a Muslim presence there which was facing a Christian uprising supported by Ethiopia. The expedition of 100 ships carried with it a book on the Islamic rules of warfare, and sailed with two key missions. The first was to drive the Ethiopians as far away as possible, even if it meant attacking the coast of Africa itself. The second, because the imam felt continued violence was likely, was to evacuate any Muslims who wished and provide them passage to the lands of Islam. Regrettably, we don't know how it all turned out.

Imam as-Salt's reign, however, also saw a great disaster, as terrible flooding claimed many lives and destroyed trees, crops, and livestock. The blow was terrible, leading whole villages to migrate elsewhere. It is this which I suspect led to surge of tribal warfare which followed and would swiftly bring down the Second Ibadhi Imamate.

Imam as-Salt himself became a casualty of the conflict when a group led by one Musa b. Musa sought to depose him from the imamate, which they succeeded in doing, though all the sources are so partisan we can say little for sure about the actual events. After this, Musa appointed a friend of his named Rashid b. an-Nazr as imam, with himself as chief advisor. Most of the religious scholars felt this was inappropriate and a massive alliance was formed to depose Rashid. They were defeated, but the imam was still isolated and friendless. Musa then joined the opposition and attempted to take charge of it. Rashid was defeated and imprisoned in 890.

Musa b. Musa then tried to appoint another friend of his named 'Azzan b. Tamim al-Kharusi as imam with himself as chief advisor, but many of the religious scholars were coming to have doubts about Musa, and sought another candidate. They went to Rashid, who agreed to repent of his alleged evil, and set him up once again as imam, but quickly thought better of it and redeposed him. In 891, a huge battle took place at al-Qa' in which 'Azzan's forces crushed an opposition army consisting mainly of Nizaris. Tribal loyalty was now clearly trumping religion, as the Nizaris appealed for help to the Abbasid caliph al-Mu'tadid in Baghdad. He sent a huge army under Muhammad b. Nur which conquered the country in 893 and laid much of it to waste. Although the Abbasids did not long remain, the Second Ibadhi Imamate had come to an end, and Oman fell into what would be centuries of turmoil.

(Source: Al-Rawas, Isam, Oman in Early Islamic History, (Reading: Ithaca Press, 2000)).

Djemaa el-Fna

This is how I spent last Fourth of July, at the Djemaa el-Fna in Marrakesh. This is the square at dusk, when it's beginning to fill up and the smoke from all the food stands rises into the sky.

Thursday, March 10, 2005

Some Links

This week is busy descending into crazy - suffice it to say that mostly for career-related reasons I'm eating out four of the next five days, and declined a suggestion for the fifth. That, of course, doesn't go into stuff related to this weekend's Persian exam or normal job stuff. So in lieu of commentary, I'll pretend like this is Gnostical Turpitude and just recommend some links.

*Over at Liberals Against Terrorism, you can read my most recent Lebanon comments.
*Senator Russ Feingold has written a blog post. (Via Daily Kos)
*Timothy Burke is exceptional this week, posting on Western Civilization and the debate over Paul Wolfowitz
*My Persian professor e-mails this link to a story about a 5000 year-old Iranian tree. I still haven't read the full article.
*Imshin is making me jealous.
*The Leaky Cauldron has the next Harry Potter cover.
*Daniel Drezner posts on the important issue of slavery.

That's enough for right now. Over the weekend I plan to do a post on the Second Ibadhi Imamate, partly to consolidate my own knowledge of the period. Meanwhile, I'm off to this for the evening.

AAARRRRGGGGGHHHHHHH!

A free imaginary Green Bay Packers sweatshirt to anyone who can figure out what in this post elicited my scream.

Tuesday, March 08, 2005

Arab Street Bum Posts

Arab Street Bum has thoughts on Mubarak's reform proposal. Count him among the pessimists.

Freedom in Retreat

Whatever's happening in Iraq, Lebanon, and Syria, developments in two other Arab countries can only conern those concerned with democracy in the region. As Abu Aardvark has mentioned frequently, Jordan is cracking down on free speech in that country, most recently by banning political activity by professional associations. In many Arab states, such organizations represent the only secular forum for political expression by the people.

Meanwhile, in Bahrain, the government has been going after web writers. I haven't followed the details of this situation, which you can read up on at Chan'ad Bahraini and the special Free Ali blog. You should also read this post at Mahmood's Den. At the same time, the government has complained about "the misuse of Ashura commemoration to attack national figures, carry posters and flags not related to the occasion and shouting slogans that had nothing to do with the spirit associated with the celebrations." They appear to be referring mainly to people carrying pictures of foreign ayatollahs during processions, though I'm sure there were more overt political messages, as well.

These stories may not make the nightly news, but they bear watching nonetheless.

Enterprise Finale

After reading this followed a few days later by this, I have to see the Enterprise series finale just to see what could possibly cause this huge negative outpouring.

Death of Tutankhamen

According to new research, King Tut wasn't murdered. Several thousand years after the fact, I find that rather disappointing.

Monday, March 07, 2005

Islamic Law

Over the weekend, I read the newly published Islamic Law: From Historical Foundations to Contemporary Practice by Mawil Izzi Dien. Islamic law, or shari'a is an important topic on which I'm pretty weak, and this did a good job of filling in some gaps and explaining issues I found confusing. There's really more to say than I have time to blog about, but worth noting is the author's conclusion about the future of Islamic law. He identifies as a key issue the lack of a state enforcement mechanism, but argues that shari'a has existed alongside other forms of jurisprudence before and is organic enough to survive whatever comes as part of the lives of Muslims. However, the lack of central authorities, especially in Sunni Islam, may lead to more frequent movements such as that of Usama bin Laden which invoke shari'a to support what are essentially political programs. He also draws an interesting but not unprecedented historical parallel to the Kharijites who rebelled against Ali during the time of the First Fitna.

The other path, of course, which the author doesn't mention, is that followed by the many Jews who simply don't follow Jewish religious laws. This, I think, is a key issue within contemporary Islam, and it may be that in the future the most important divisions within the Islamic world will not be between Sunni, Shi'ite, and Ibadhi so much as between something like Orthodox, Conservative, and Reform. This could especially happen in places like Iran, where there is a central authority to enforce the shari'a, but where that authority has lost much of its popular legitimacy.

Anyway, I've added this book to those recommended on my sidebar.

Confrontation in Kyrgyzstan

I've posted a Kyrgyzstan update at Liberals Against Terrorism.

Hizbullah and Syria

In response to the Hizbullah-sponsored pre-Syria demonstrations in Lebanon, David Asednik writes: "This all makes me wonder why Assad has been so conciliatory so far. Has he just been biding his time until Hezbollah could demonstrate its support for the Syrian presence?" In reality, Syria hasn't been that conciliatory. He has agreed to withdraw troops to the Bekaa Valley, not to withdraw entirely as the Lebanese opposition and their western supporters demand. Syria is more than capable of stirring the Lebanese pot from there, probably in ways that will allow them to eventually return. What we've seen so far is evidence of little more than a tactical retreat.

UPDATE: Dean Nation's Aziz has thoughts on the media coverage of the Lebanon situation.

Women's Rights Debate

The Kuwaiti Parliament today is debating measures related to women's suffrage in that country. Meanwhile, hundreds of people are protesting outside the Parliament building in support of the government, which has been seeking women's rights legislation for years against Islamist and tribal opposition. Al-Jazeera has more.

UPDATE: Praktike has some coverage from Kuwaiti bloggers.

Sunday, March 06, 2005

Groundings

Make me a channel of your peace.
Where there is hatred, let me bring your love.
Where there is injury, your pardon, Lord.
And where there's doubt, true faith in you.

Make me a channel of your peace.
Where there's despair in life, let me bring hope.
Where there is darkness...only light.
And where there's sadness, ever joy.

Oh, Master, grant that I may never seek,
So much to be consoled as to console.
To be understood as to understand,
To be loved, as to love with all my heart.

Make me a channel of your peace.
It is in pardoning that we are pardoned,
In giving of ourselves that we receive,
And in dying that we're born to eternal life.


I haven't read the Prayer of St. Francis in ages, but it really does represent the inner core of the way I seek to live my life. Going to college at the Franciscan Quincy University clearly left me with a spiritual foundation even after spending six years in completely different environments.

Dark Galaxy

Via Dave Milovich, I see that scientists have discovered a galaxy made entirely of dark matter. The existence of dark matter is necessary to explain the way known matter behaves mathematically, but scientists have been challenged by the fact there is needs to be huge quantities of it to make everything work. This discovery is thus important in confirming existing astrophysical theories.

Saturday, March 05, 2005

The Other Sgrenas

The shooting of Italian journalist Giuliana Sgrena led NBC's nightly newscast, but as A Star from Mosul points out, it happens to Iraqis all the time:
This happens (believe it or not) almost everyday.. My brother-in-law's father, my classmate's aunt, my classmate's uncle, my classmate's brother, my teacher's son-in-law and many many others.. Surely can't be all counted. But, according to the US, it was just a mistake, and we're sorry. The family of those who are killed will never forget who killed their relative, they'll never understand why, and they'll suffer to get the death's certificate. The soldier who shot will have nightmares, but he was well-trained, and that's what matters!"

If you want the American media to notice you, it helps to be White.

Top Lieutenants

The media often refers to "top lieutenants" of Abu Musab az-Zarqawi. The Jamestown Foundation has looked into exactly what that means. It also includes the tidbit that the Zarqawi group has threatened former Ba'athists if theu participate in negotiations to end the insurgency.

Coalition Talks

This article gives a good overview of the coalition talks in Iraq between the United Iraqi Alliance and the Kurdish Alliance, with Kurdish claims to Kirkuk being the main issue of contention. Spencer Ackerman has good ongoing coverage of these issues.

Friday, March 04, 2005

Beowulf

Bashar al-Assad Lamp

This is just one small example of Bashar al-Assad's personality cult, a square in Aleppo ringed with lamps featuring his face.

Thursday, March 03, 2005

Regulating Internet Punditry

UW MES Boosting

Interested parties may again study abroad at Hebrew University in Jerusalem, as the powers that be have lifted a three-year-old suspension implemented for security reasons. The catch is that the application deadline is March 18, so think fast. Meanwhile, know that on March 16 the University of Michigan's Mark Tessler will turn up to talk about "The Extent and Meaning of Popular Support for Democracy in the Arab World: Findings from Cross-National Survey Research."

Habiba Sorabi

Afghan President Hamid Karzai has appointed Habiba Sorabi governor of Bamiyan. Bamiyan, a former women's affairs minister, is the country's first female governor.

Wednesday, March 02, 2005

Faculty

A few of us have started meeting over at my advisor's house one afternoon each week to read medieval Arabic texts. It occurred to me the other day that this is the first time at UW where I've done academic work outside the setting of the sterile classrooms and lecture halls in the Humanities Building and Van Hise Hall. When one reads essays by great scholars of the past on their studies, there always seems to be some experience which calls to mind the aesthetics of scholarship, and it's really pleasant to be able to sit around a sip coffee surrounded by the aura of our trade, discussing the problems in an old text about Ibn Sina and some colleagues sitting around discussing the problems in old texts.

Last Sunday our Persian professor did something in a related vein, inviting the first and second year classes over for Iranian cooking. This sort of thing is attended by undergraduates more than graduate students, and for them there's probably nothing like spending some time in the home of a language's native speaker where so much of the culture is present. For me, of course, making a Shirazi salad is a practical life skill I look forward to doing again when I'm in the mood.

Of course, one never gets to know all the professors from whom one might benefit. One of the most distinguished of our history faculty is the renowned Ottomanist Dr. Kemal Karpat. He is now around 80, and retired just before last year, though he remains active, with a reputation such that visiting members of the Turkish Parliament have behaved deferentially toward him. While waiting for a meeting last week he stopped in the Middle East Studies office, ready with stories of when we didn't have an office. While I listened, it occurred to me I've never actually talked to Dr. Karpat, aside from one chat about a paper and once when a student in my lecture course wanted to write a paper on an Ottoman topic and I wanted to make sure my guidance was sound. This is, I think something to rectify before I leave.

Syria and Tel Aviv Bombing

Let's be explicit about the Syrian role in the Tel Aviv bombing: It was carried out by a terrorist group based in Damascus. That's not the same as saying, "Syria did it." Does the Bush administration realize this, or do we have an explicit example of their tendency to see terrorist groups primarily as agents or potential agents of rogue states?

Arab Media and People Power

Abu Aardvark analyzes the role played by the Arab media in recent developments:
"While those who want to claim the current protests as a vindication of the Bush Doctrine might not like the analogy, the closest comparison to the current situation is the spring of 2002, when al Jazeera drove and energized Arab protests against the Israeli re-occupation of the West Bank not just by showing gory pictures but by showing Arabs that other Arabs were marching and protesting. I know from interviewing lots of people involved in those protests that the Arab media were really important in shaping their ideas of what was possible, inspiring them to march and to protest - and, in a very real way, making them feel that they were part of that same, common story that I mentioned above. When Jordanians marched in Amman, they weren't only 'talking' to King Abdullah, they knew that they were being seen by Egyptians, by Moroccans, by Palestinians."

Read the whole thing.

Something About Egypt

The best Egypt analysis in the blogosphere is found at The Arabist Network, where today Charles Levinson notes that a contested election doesn't necessarily mean big changes, as people in places like Zimbabwe and Algeria can attest. In order for this to matter, there needs to be either a significant alternative candidate such as Amr Moussa or the combination of massive popular discontent with Mubarak that could rally around a united opposition front. An election between Mubarak and miscellaneous other people isn't going to cut it.

Tuesday, March 01, 2005

Syria Notes

I've rounded up a few news notes from Syria at Liberals Against Terrorism.

After the Resignation

The Lebanon Daily Star describes popular reaction to the resignation of Prime Minister Omar Karami during a Parliamentary session shown on huge TV's in Martyrs' Square. The opposition, however, has no plans to rest on its laurels and is naming new targets:
"Following the prime minister's announcement, the opposition also demanded the resignation of State Prosecutor Adnan Addoum, Director General of the Surete Generale Major General Jamil Sayyed, Director General of the State Security Major General Edward Mansour, Director General of the Internal Security Forces Ali Hajj, head of military intelligence Raymond Azar, commander of the presidential guard Mustafa Hamdan and head of the Monitoring Agency in the Lebanese Intelligence Bureau Ghassan Tufeili."

This is not the first time popular demonstrations have helped force a Middle Eastern government from power (1948 Baghdad, Beirut and Cairo in 1952, Tehran in 1906, 1953, and 1979). However, in most of these other cases western powers had an interest in maintaining the status quo. In Lebanon today, that is not the case.

UPDATE: Juan Cole reviews the history of Lebanon.

Kyrgyz Results Protested

After the first round of Kyrgyzstan's Parliamentary elections, 31 of the 75 constituencies have been decided, with the other 44 headed to a March 13 run-off. However, thousands of opposition supporters in three cities are protesting the results. The government, apparently nervous, is continuing to fight the media. This is not a Ukraine situation - the opposition won't ascend to power - but they are drawing a line about the conduct of elections which could set things up for this fall's Presidential contest.