Tuesday, November 02, 2004

Voter Turnout

Madison's Deputy City Clerk has revised turnout expectations up to an incredible 90%. Traditionally, high turnout favors Democrats. But our experiences with that only go up to maybe 60% on a national level. Pundits have been saying 120 million voters means good news for Kerry, but does it follow that 130 million or more would be better news? It might be, and in Madison this could just be a sign that Democrats in particular are energized. But I think we're to the point where unknown variables could upset our received wisdom.

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