Tuesday, November 02, 2004

Turkish Incursion into Kirkuk?

RFE-RL is reporting Turkish plans to send 40,000 troops into northern Iraq to prevent Kurds from gaining control over Kirkuk and attack Kurdish militias. At the same time, Kurdish forces are taking up points along the border. Turkey considers an autonomous Kurdistan a security risk, so I can see them actually doing this, and whoever wins today's election will have to use some careful diplomacy to defuse this situation. Both Allawi and an American administration would oppose such a move, which would further destabalize Iraq and pit a NATO nation against the main component of Iraqi society which currently supports the coalition actions in the country. This could, I might add, have been prevented if Bush had taken the steps necessary to secure Turkish involvement in this whole Iraq venture.

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