Karrubi In

Mehdi Karrubi, formerly reformist speaker of Iran's Majlis, has announced he will run for President. The other reform candidate is the much more radical Mustafa Mo'in. I expect pressure will grow on one of them to drop out, and that the political establishment will support Karrubi as less likely to rock the boat, which they have been loathe to do. Mo'in also stands a greater chance of getting bounced by the Council of Guardians. As Pejman Yousefzadeh points out, this leads to an odd situation in which many in the reform faction might actually hope Mo'in gets disqualified rather than siphon off votes from their probable anointed one.