Back to the Grind
"Sunni Arabs will remain marginalized by the formal political process and unlikely to see it as a viable means of protecting their interests. Iraq will be governed by the same group of exile parties that have been governing it since the days of the Iraqi Governing Counsel and the Coalition Provisional Authority, albeit perhaps with some shuffling of cabinet portfolios. The American military, the insurgency, and various party-affiliated militias will remain more effective sources of power than the official state security apparatus. Underlying questions about American intentions, the status of Kurdistan, the disposal of Iraq's oil wealth, and so forth remain unanswered."
Meanwhile, Swopa reminds us that President Bush really shouldn't take much credit for the Iraqi elections.