Marc Lynch remembers
the internal politics of Egypt's Muslim Brotherhood in the years before 2011:
Put simply, the years
immediately preceding the Egyptian revolution had produced a Brotherhood
leadership and organization almost uniquely poorly adapted to the challenges of
a democratic transition. The regime cracked down hard on the Brotherhood
following its electoral success in 2005, arresting a wide range of its leaders
(including currently prominent personalities such as Morsy and Shater),
confiscating its financial assets, and launching intense media propaganda
campaigns.
This took a toll on the internal balance of power inside the
Brotherhood as advocates of political participation found themselves on the
defensive against the more conservative faction, which preferred to focus on
social outreach and religious affairs. In 2008, conservatives were declared the
winners in all five seats being contested in by-elections to replace empty seats
on the Brotherhood's highest official body, the Guidance Council; reformists
cried foul. The next year, in new elections to the council again marred by
serious procedural violations, the most prominent reformist member, Abdel Monem
Abou el-Fotouh, and a key intermediary between the factions, Mohammed Habib,
lost their long-held seats. Supreme Guide Mohammed Mehdi Akef, an old-guard
conservative who had nonetheless maintained a careful balance between the
factions, later stepped down and was replaced by little-known conservative
Mohammed Badie. Over the next few years, a number of leading members of the
reformist faction left the Brotherhood or were excluded from positions of
influence.
When the revolution broke out, then, the Brotherhood had already
driven away many of its most politically savvy and ideologically moderate
leaders. Its leadership had become dominated by cautious, paranoid, and
ideologically rigid conservatives who had little experience at building
cross-ideological partnerships or making democratic compromises. One-time
reformists such as Essam el-Erian and Mohammed el-Beltagy had made their peace
with conservative domination and commanded little influence on the movement's
strategy. It is fascinating to imagine how the Brotherhood might have handled
the revolution and its aftermath if the dominant personalities on the Guidance
Bureau had been Abou el-Fotouh and Habib rather than Shater and Badie -- but
we'll never know.
This is perhaps a small example of a point I've tried to make before: If you don't like Egypt after 2011, then part of the blame has to lie the the policies of the regime that was there in previous decades.
No comments:
Post a Comment