I don't have any particular insight or expertise about this, but
Israeli politics continues to fascinate:
"The Kadima faction is expected to split, if not today then by the end of
the week, with former minister Tzachi Hanegbi leading efforts to
convince at least seven Kadima MKs to break off and rejoin the
coalition...
"A senior legal expert said yesterday that under the Basic Law: The
Government, Hanegbi could serve as a minister in the current government -
even though he was forced to resign his Knesset seat some two years ago
due to his perjury conviction, which the court said reflected moral
turpitude. He was not sentenced to prison, however, and the moral
turpitude issue is not mentioned in that basic law...
"Meanwhile, several Kadima MKs who were considered supporters of former
party chair Tzipi Livni have been holding their own discussions about
breaking off. One idea is to join the more right-wing Kadima deserters
as a first step, and later to look for places in more left-wing parties."
Kadima began as a vehicle for Ariel Sharon and his Gaza disengagement, and Ehud Olmert only led it to victory in 2006 because of the timing of Sharon's coma. It doesn't look like it will survive much longer than Shinui, a secular centrist party of yore. Its dissolution could, however, bring a Labor comeback somewhat closer.
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